Sport Picks

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FC Flamengos vs GD Fontinhas

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Flamengos play GD Fontinhas in the Taça de Portugal 2023/2024. GD Fontinhas are favorites here. Recently, FC Flamengos averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. GD Fontinhas averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, FC Flamengos won 0, GD Fontinhas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for FC Flamengos and 0.86 for GD Fontinhas. This points to a GD Fontinhas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
FC Flamengos
15%
Draws
71%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Flamengos picked up more points recently compared to GD Fontinhas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
FC Flamengos Clean Sheet 25%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Flamengos GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.2 1
Goals Conceded 3.8 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Taça de Portugal
FC Flamengos vs GD Fontinhas
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Flamengos 18 / 100
GD Fontinhas 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Flamengos GD Fontinhas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick GD Fontinhas & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Flamengos attacking → ← attacking GD Fontinhas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Flamengos scored in 20% of their last 5 games.

GD Fontinhas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Flamengos went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

GD Fontinhas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13