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FC Gardabani vs Chkherimela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between FC Gardabani and Chkherimela finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gardabani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC Gardabani
15%
Draws
59%
Chkherimela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chkherimela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gardabani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chkherimela's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 15%
Chkherimela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Chkherimela
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1.05 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2017 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Chkherimela
2:1
Apr 11, 2017 Liga 3
Chkherimela vs FC Gardabani
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 11 / 100
Chkherimela 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Chkherimela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chkherimela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Chkherimela let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

FC Gardabani scored in 57% of their last 37 games.

FC Gardabani went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gardabani

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
Page 1 of 8

Chkherimela

(Away)
22 Nov
Chkherimela
1 : 0
Sulori Vani
14 Nov
Sapovnela Terjola
3 : 2
Chkherimela
07 Nov
Chkherimela
2 : 4
Odishi 1919
25 Oct
Skuri Tsalenjikha
1 : 2
Chkherimela
15 Oct
Margveti 2006
1 : 1
Chkherimela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)