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FC Gardabani vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kokosadze L.
37' Event
Ali D.
41' Event
Kokosadze L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between FC Gardabani and Locomotive Tbilisi 2 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gardabani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Gardabani
6%
Draws
90%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Locomotive Tbilisi 2 come out ahead of FC Gardabani on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Locomotive Tbilisi 2 taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 18%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
5:2
Apr 10, 2025 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs FC Gardabani
1:0
Oct 17, 2024 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
4:0
Apr 25, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs FC Gardabani
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gardabani Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokosadze L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ali D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kordzaia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ninidze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 10 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Gardabani scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413