Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

3 - 3
FT
Bolnisi Logo

Bolnisi

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kalandadze L.
Assist: Nikolaishvili G.
14'
Kurdadze B.
14'
Kilasonia V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between FC Gareji Sagarejo and Bolnisi finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
30%
Draws
33%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 16%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Bolnisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi
3:3
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zurabiani D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalandadze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Iakobidze G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kevin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 36 / 100
Bolnisi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Bolnisi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FC Gareji Sagarejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Bolnisi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
22 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
15 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 2
Dusheti
08 Aug
Telavi
0 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Bolnisi

(Away)
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Odishi 1919
0 : 1
Bolnisi
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
08 Aug
Gori
4 : 1
Bolnisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 25 13 8 4 33:26 47
2 Telavi 25 11 8 6 27:23 41
3 Shturmi 25 10 9 6 27:22 39
4 Merani Martvili 25 9 7 9 28:28 34
5 Samtredia 25 10 4 11 43:39 34
6 Bolnisi 25 8 9 8 33:30 33
7 Dusheti 25 9 5 11 28:35 32
8 Odishi 1919 25 7 7 11 27:36 28
9 Gori 25 6 8 11 25:32 26
10 Kolkheti 1913 25 5 9 11 32:32 24
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)