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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

0 - 2
FT
Dusheti Logo

Dusheti

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bregvadze T.
Assist: Bzekalava T.
28'
Nuhu B.
31'
Sub
Gulisashvili I. In: Kapanadze T.
Out: Gulisashvili I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between FC Gareji Sagarejo and Dusheti finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20%
Draws
29%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Gareji Sagarejo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Gareji Sagarejo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Dusheti
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
0:2
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Aug 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bregvadze T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amoako D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 34 / 100
Dusheti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dusheti conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Gareji Sagarejo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Dusheti
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Dusheti

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)