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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Seidu T.
Assist: Alimbarashvili G.
46'
Sub
Gulisashvili I. In: Tchikaidze I.
Out: Gulisashvili I.
54' Event
Gugberidze B.
Assist: Nikolaishvili G.

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
30%
Draws
37%
Gori
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gori haven't matched FC Gareji Sagarejo's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Gareji Sagarejo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%
Gori Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Gori
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori
1:0
Feb 9, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori
3:2
Oct 6, 2020 Liga 3
Gori vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gugberidze B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samadashvili G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Seidu T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 34 / 100
Gori 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gori's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FC Gareji Sagarejo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: FC Gareji Sagarejo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Gori
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Gori

(Away)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)