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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Kolkheti 1913 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

3 - 2
FT
Kolkheti 1913 Logo

Kolkheti 1913

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Samadashvili G.
Own Goal
19' Event
Babunadze T.
Assist: Nikolaishvili G.
42'
Kapanadze T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between FC Gareji Sagarejo and Kolkheti 1913 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
35%
Draws
37%
Kolkheti 1913
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kolkheti 1913

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of Kolkheti 1913 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kolkheti 1913's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 13%
Kolkheti 1913 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Kolkheti 1913
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Kolkheti 1913
3:2
May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Kolkheti 1913 vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Kolkheti 1913
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Kolkheti 1913 vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Aug 24, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Kolkheti 1913
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Babunadze T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalandadze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kolkheti 1913 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 19 / 100
Kolkheti 1913 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Kolkheti 1913

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kolkheti 1913 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kolkheti 1913 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: FC Gareji Sagarejo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Kolkheti 1913
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Kolkheti 1913

(Away)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)