Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo host Telavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Telavi have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while FC Gareji Sagarejo have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.36. Head-to-head, FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 1 to Telavi's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.56) point toward FC Gareji Sagarejo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
35%
Draws
19%
Telavi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of Telavi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 15%
Telavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Telavi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.36 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Telavi
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 31 / 100
Telavi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Telavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gareji Sagarejo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Gareji Sagarejo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Telavi has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Telavi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Telavi

(Away)
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)