Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gera 03 vs Lichtenrader

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2009/2010 Stadion der Freundschaft, Gera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with FC Gera 03 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Gera 03
20%
Draws
40%
Lichtenrader
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lichtenrader carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Gera 03's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Lichtenrader arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Gera 03, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 13%
Lichtenrader Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gera 03 Lichtenrader
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.89 1
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2010 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
FC Gera 03 vs Lichtenrader
2:0
Jun 6, 2010 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Lichtenrader vs FC Gera 03
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gera 03 66 / 100
Lichtenrader 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gera 03 Lichtenrader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gera 03 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lichtenrader has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

FC Gera 03 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lichtenrader's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gera 03 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gera 03

(Home)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
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Lichtenrader

(Away)
13 Jun
FC Gera 03
2 : 0
Lichtenrader
06 Jun
Lichtenrader
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
29 May
Schoneiche
5 : 2
Lichtenrader
22 May
Lichtenrader
2 : 0
Rathenow
12 May
Malchower
5 : 3
Lichtenrader
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lichtenrader 1
FC Gera 03 3