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FC Goa vs Al Nassr

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Angelo
Assist: Ghareeb A.
24'
Sub
Siverio J. In: Fernandes B.
Out: Siverio J.
27' Event
Camara H.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 game between FC Goa and Al Nassr finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FC Goa
20%
Draws
51%
Al Nassr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nassr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Goa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Goa Al Nassr
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.33 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Al Nassr vs FC Goa
4:0
Oct 22, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
FC Goa vs Al Nassr
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Goa 40 / 100
Al Nassr 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Goa Al Nassr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

FC Goa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Nassr has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: FC Goa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Goa VS Al Nassr
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Goa

(Home)
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
24 Apr
North East United
0 : 2
FC Goa
Page 1 of 6

Al Nassr

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 6 4 2 0 15:6 14
2 Esteghlal TEH 6 2 2 2 8:10 8
3 Al-Muharraq 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Al Wehdat 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahli 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
2 Arkadag 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
3 Al Khalidiyah 6 1 3 2 3:3 6
4 Andijan 6 0 5 1 1:3 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Sepahan 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ahal 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
4 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 6 6 0 0 22:2 18
2 Al Zawraa 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
3 Istiqlol Dushanbe 6 3 0 3 7:13 9
4 FC Goa 6 0 0 6 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macarthur FC 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Cong An Ha Noi 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
3 Tai Po 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Beijing Guoan 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gamba Osaka 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Ratchaburi 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
3 Nam Dinh 6 3 0 3 14:7 9
4 Eastern AA 6 0 0 6 2:30 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Bangkok Utd 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Lion City Sailors 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
4 Selangor 6 0 1 5 7:15 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampines 6 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Pohang 6 4 1 1 7:2 13
3 Pathum United 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
4 Kaya FC 6 0 0 6 4:15 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)