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FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Goa host Chennaiyin FC in the ISL. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC Goa have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.15 conceded recently, against Chennaiyin FC's 1.07 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Goa slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward FC Goa. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Goa
20%
Draws
40%
Chennaiyin FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Goa lately — more wins on the board than Chennaiyin FC.
  • Model gives FC Goa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 20%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Goa Chennaiyin FC
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 ISL
FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa
2:2
Apr 20, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Goa 42 / 100
Chennaiyin FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Goa Chennaiyin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chennaiyin FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FC Goa scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Chennaiyin FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Goa VS Chennaiyin FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Goa

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Goa
0 : 2
Dempo
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
Page 1 of 7

Chennaiyin FC

(Away)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Churchill Brothers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bengaluru FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chennaiyin FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kerala Blasters 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mumbai City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Inter Kashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Delhi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)