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FC Goa vs Downtown Heroes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nemil M.
38' Event
Martinez C.
90' Event
Murgaokar D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with FC Goa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Goa
20%
Draws
40%
Downtown Heroes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Goa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Goa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • FC Goa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Goa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 68%
Downtown Heroes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Goa Downtown Heroes
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Durand Cup
FC Goa vs Downtown Heroes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemil M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Downtown Heroes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Goa 59 / 100
Downtown Heroes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Goa Downtown Heroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Goa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Goa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Downtown Heroes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Downtown Heroes's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Goa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Goa

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Goa
0 : 2
Dempo
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
Page 1 of 7

Downtown Heroes

(Away)
04 Oct
Downtown Heroes
1 : 2
Diamond Harbour
02 Oct
Karbi Anglong
6 : 0
Downtown Heroes
28 Sept
KLASA
2 : 1
Downtown Heroes
26 Sept
Downtown Heroes
1 : 3
Sesa FA
11 Sept
SSU
2 : 2
Downtown Heroes
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Mohun Bagan 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Bangladesh Army 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Minerva Punjab 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Mohammedan 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 0 2 1:11 3
4 Indian Navy 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gokulam 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
2 Bengaluru FC 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Kerala Blasters 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 North East United 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
3 Lajong 3 1 0 2 2:11 3
4 Downtown Heroes 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chennaiyin FC 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hyderabad 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Delhi FC 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Bodoland FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Odisha FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams