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FC Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Lisakovich D.
24' Event
Leonovich K.
54' Event
Barsukov E.

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FC Gomel
30%
Draws
14%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gomel have won more games recently than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • Win probability leans FC Gomel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Gomel
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Gomel
0:0
Jun 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:2
Nov 30, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Gomel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisakovich D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leonovich K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 85 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FC Gomel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
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