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FC Gomel vs Belshina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Laptev D.
37'
Lazarev D.
45'
Kukushkin G.

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Gomel
30%
Draws
23%
Belshina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gomel have won more games recently than Belshina.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on FC Gomel taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Gomel here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Belshina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Belshina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs Belshina
1:0
Aug 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Belshina
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs FC Gomel
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs Belshina
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs FC Gomel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovalevich D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Belshina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 49 / 100
Belshina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Belshina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belshina has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

FC Gomel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: FC Gomel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Belshina
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
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Belshina

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)