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FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel host ML Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FC Gomel at 1.48 goals for, 0.83 against; ML Vitebsk at 1.84 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, FC Gomel have won 0 to ML Vitebsk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring ML Vitebsk. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Gomel
30%
Draws
30%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ML Vitebsk come out ahead of FC Gomel on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • ML Vitebsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
5:0
Jun 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 32 / 100
ML Vitebsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

ML Vitebsk has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: FC Gomel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS ML Vitebsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
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ML Vitebsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)