Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gomel vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Laptev D.
18' Event
Lazarev V.
Assist: Simanenka T.
23'
Sub
Shelikov D. In: Naumovich A.
Out: Shelikov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between FC Gomel and Naftan finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Gomel
15%
Draws
34%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Naftan haven't matched FC Gomel's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on FC Gomel taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 19%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Naftan
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Naftan
6:0
Apr 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Gomel
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs FC Gomel
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Gomel
5:3
May 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Naftan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Laptev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lazarev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Naftan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Gomel scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Naftan let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Naftan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Naftan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0
Naftan
09 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
FC Minsk
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Vitebsk
18 Jul
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 3
FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0
Naftan
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
31 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 3
Naftan
19 Jul
Orsha
3 : 2
Naftan
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 16 10 4 2 30:14 34
2 Din. Minsk 14 10 3 1 26:12 33
3 ML Vitebsk 14 9 4 1 30:13 31
4 Dynamo Brest 18 9 3 6 30:17 30
5 FC Gomel 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
6 FC Minsk 18 8 4 6 25:23 28
7 Vitebsk 18 7 5 6 18:17 26
8 Neman 17 7 3 7 18:17 24
9 Zhodino 16 6 5 5 23:14 23
10 Slavia Mozyr 17 5 6 6 20:23 21
11 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18 5 6 7 20:29 21
12 FK Baranovici 17 4 5 8 20:32 17
13 BATE 16 2 7 7 12:19 13
14 Dnepr Mogilev 18 2 7 9 16:29 13
15 Belshina 16 3 3 10 14:31 12
16 Naftan 17 2 4 11 16:40 10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)