Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gomel vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Laptev D.
18' Event
Lazarev V.
Assist: Simanenka T.
23'
Sub
Shelikov D. In: Naumovich A.
Out: Shelikov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between FC Gomel and Naftan finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Gomel
15%
Draws
21%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Naftan haven't matched FC Gomel's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on FC Gomel taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Naftan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Naftan
6:0
Apr 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Gomel
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs FC Gomel
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Gomel
5:3
May 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Naftan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Laptev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lazarev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Naftan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Gomel scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: FC Gomel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Naftan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)