Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Guantanamo and CF Granma finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
FC Guantanamo
15%
Draws
20%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Guantanamo come out ahead of CF Granma on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Guantanamo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Guantanamo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo CF Granma
Matches Played 38 27
Wins 20 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.74 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo
0:6
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
3:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 85 / 100
CF Granma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo CF Granma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FC Guantanamo scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: CF Granma conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Guantanamo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS CF Granma
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Guantanamo

(Home)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
Page 1 of 8

CF Granma

(Away)
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2
CF Granma
03 May
CF Granma
3 : 2
FC Holguin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)