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FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Guantanamo play CF Granma in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Guantanamo averaged 1.68 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. CF Granma averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, FC Guantanamo won 4, CF Granma won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 14, 2025 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for FC Guantanamo and 0.88 for CF Granma. This points to a FC Guantanamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
FC Guantanamo
22%
Draws
23%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo picked up more points recently compared to CF Granma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 25%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo CF Granma
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.68 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo
0:6
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
3:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 55 / 100
CF Granma 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo CF Granma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC Guantanamo & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Guantanamo attacking → ← attacking CF Granma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Guantanamo scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

CF Granma let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FC Guantanamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Granma lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 26
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228