Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

FC Guantanamo

3 - 0

FC Holguin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Guantanamo and FC Holguin finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FC Guantanamo

Draws

FC Holguin

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Guantanamo carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on FC Guantanamo taking it.
Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Guantanamo	FC Holguin
Matches Played	39	35
Wins	21	15
Draws	10	10
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	2	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Guantanamo vs FC Holguin

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Guantanamo vs FC Holguin

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

May 27, 2023 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 85 / 100

FC Holguin 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Guantanamo FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FC Guantanamo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

FC Holguin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Guantanamo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS FC Holguin

2 Goals Scored 0.88

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8