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FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024 game between FC Guantanamo and Las Tunas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Guantanamo
15%
Draws
40%
Las Tunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Guantanamo come out ahead of Las Tunas on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on FC Guantanamo taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 17%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo Las Tunas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Guantanamo
2:2
Nov 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Guantanamo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 39 / 100
Las Tunas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo Las Tunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Guantanamo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Las Tunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: FC Guantanamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS Las Tunas
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Guantanamo

(Home)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
Page 1 of 7

Las Tunas

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0
Las Tunas
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2
FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1
Las Tunas
10 May
Las Tunas
3 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pinar del Rio 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Artemisa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FC Villa Clara 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 Mayabeque Guines 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Matanzas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Isla de La Juventud 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 FC La Habana 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 FC Ciego de Avila 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 FC Holguin 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 FC Santiago de Cuba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 FC Sancti Spiritus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 FC Camaguey 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 CF Granma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Las Tunas 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Clausura)