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FC Guantanamo vs Matanzas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Guantanamo and Matanzas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Guantanamo
6%
Draws
4%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Guantanamo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo Matanzas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Matanzas
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Guantanamo
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 85 / 100
Matanzas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo Matanzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Guantanamo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Matanzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FC Guantanamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS Matanzas
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%