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FC Guantanamo vs Matanzas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Guantanamo and Matanzas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
FC Guantanamo
15%
Draws
20%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Guantanamo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo Matanzas
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.68 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Matanzas
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Guantanamo
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 85 / 100
Matanzas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo Matanzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Guantanamo scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Matanzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FC Guantanamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS Matanzas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Guantanamo

(Home)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
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Matanzas

(Away)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0
FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
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