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FC Hegelmann vs FC Stumbras 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Jun 23, 2019
3 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Hegelmann host FC Stumbras 2 in the I Lyga 2019. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Hegelmann at 1 goals for, 1.5 against; FC Stumbras 2 at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor FC Hegelmann slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.25) point toward FC Hegelmann. FC Hegelmann in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Hegelmann
40%
Draws
29%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann have won more games recently than FC Stumbras 2.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 19%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 35 11
Wins 11 4
Draws 15 2
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs FC Hegelmann
0:0
Jun 23, 2019 I Lyga
FC Hegelmann vs FC Stumbras 2
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 32 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann FC Stumbras 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: FC Hegelmann remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: FC Stumbras 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dziugas Telsiai28194558:2361
2Banga28175657:2456
3Vilniaus Vytis28174774:3155
4Dainava Alytus28172964:3253
5Nevezis Kedainiai28164866:3752
6FA Siauliai28145961:3747
7FC Hegelmann28128857:4244
8FK Minija281251154:4941
9Jonava281241255:4640
10Kupiskis281061249:5636
11BFA Vilnius281031556:5333
12Riteriai 228951461:4932
13Zalgiris 228641843:8322
14FK Atmosfera28342123:9613
15FC Pakruojis28332225:14512
16FC Stumbras 200000:00