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FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
FC Hegelmann Logo

FC Hegelmann

1 - 1
FT
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Iyobosa Edokpolor N.
Assist: Sirgedas G.
38' Event
Njoya A.
Assist: Sadauskas R.
58'
Sub
Ikaunieks D. In: Karashima Y.
Out: Ikaunieks D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
49%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Kauno Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than FC Hegelmann.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 13 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:0
Jun 14, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
5:0
Oct 1, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Njoya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Iyobosa Edokpolor N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Hegelmann scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FC Hegelmann went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0.86 Goals Scored 0.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)