Sport Picks

Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas

FC Hegelmann

3 - 2

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Match Events

Remeikis M.

Assist: Kausinis E.

Njoya A.

Assist: Kausinis E.

17'

Duke C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FC Hegelmann and FK Panevezys finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Hegelmann.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

FC Hegelmann

30%

Draws

34%

FK Panevezys

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Hegelmann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

FK Panevezys carry the better recent record into this one.
FC Hegelmann are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 17%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Hegelmann	FK Panevezys
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	12
Draws	12	4
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 TOPLYGA

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

May 6, 2026 TOPLYGA

FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevezys

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sep 28, 2025 Lithuanian Cup

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sep 21, 2025 TOPLYGA

FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Remeikis M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Njoya A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtsev O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Asante I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 36 / 100

FK Panevezys 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Hegelmann FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FK Panevezys has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FC Hegelmann has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS FK Panevezys

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	19	8	7	4	34:15	31
2	Banga	19	8	6	5	22:14	30
3	Suduva	19	7	9	3	21:16	30
4	Dziugas Telsiai	19	8	6	5	28:22	30
5	Transinvest	19	8	5	6	28:25	29
6	Zalgiris	19	8	4	7	27:21	28
7	FC Hegelmann	19	3	10	6	20:29	19
8	FK Panevezys	20	5	4	11	18:37	19
9	FA Siauliai	19	2	7	10	18:37	13
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0