Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Hegelmann vs Suduva

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Seck I.
Assist: Baltrunas Z.
20' Event
Njoya A.
23'
Kazlauskas D.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FC Hegelmann and Suduva finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Hegelmann
20%
Draws
61%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann haven't matched Suduva's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Suduva taking it.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Suduva
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Hegelmann
5:1
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Suduva
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Hegelmann
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Suduva
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Hegelmann
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Njoya A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omori Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 10 / 100
Suduva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FC Hegelmann scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Suduva let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

FC Hegelmann has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS Suduva
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
08 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
2 : 0
FC Hegelmann
02 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 2
Transinvest
27 Jul
FC Hegelmann
2 : 3
Zalgiris
24 Jul
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FC Hegelmann
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Suduva

(Away)
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
09 Aug
Banga
0 : 3
Suduva
20 Jul
Suduva
5 : 1
FC Hegelmann
06 Jul
Suduva
0 : 0
Transinvest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 23 11 9 3 33:17 42
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 22 10 8 4 41:16 38
3 Banga 24 10 7 7 29:22 37
4 Dziugas Telsiai 25 10 7 8 34:31 37
5 Zalgiris 23 11 4 8 37:27 37
6 Transinvest 24 10 6 8 33:32 36
7 FC Hegelmann 25 4 11 10 27:42 23
8 FK Panevezys 24 6 5 13 21:41 23
9 FA Siauliai 24 3 7 14 23:50 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)