Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Hegelmann vs Transinvest

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Musolitin M.
30'
Kazlauskas D.
52' Event
Xabi Auzmendi
Assist: Musolitin M.

AI Match Summary

Transinvest in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Transinvest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
46%
Transinvest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Transinvest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Transinvest lately — more wins on the board than FC Hegelmann.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Transinvest taking it.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 12%
Transinvest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Transinvest
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 13 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Transinvest
1:2
May 29, 2026 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs FC Hegelmann
2:1
May 20, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Transinvest vs FC Hegelmann
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Transinvest
3:1
May 27, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Transinvest vs FC Hegelmann
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Slendzoka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Transinvest Compare

Top Goalscorer Musolitin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xabi Auzmendi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 11 / 100
Transinvest 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Transinvest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Transinvest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Transinvest conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Hegelmann stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS Transinvest
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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Transinvest

(Away)
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
24 Aug
Transinvest
3 : 0
FA Siauliai
16 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1
Transinvest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)