Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Hegelmann vs Vilniaus Vytis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Hegelmann
6%
Draws
4%
Vilniaus Vytis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Hegelmann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilniaus Vytis have won more games recently than FC Hegelmann.
  • FC Hegelmann are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 17%
Vilniaus Vytis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Vilniaus Vytis
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 13 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2020 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs FC Hegelmann
1:3
Jul 25, 2020 I Lyga
FC Hegelmann vs Vilniaus Vytis
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 I Lyga
FC Hegelmann vs Vilniaus Vytis
0:3
May 4, 2019 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs FC Hegelmann
1:1
Jul 30, 2016 I Lyga
FC Hegelmann vs Vilniaus Vytis
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 84 / 100
Vilniaus Vytis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Vilniaus Vytis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Vilniaus Vytis has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Hegelmann's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vilniaus Vytis conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS Vilniaus Vytis
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jonava1394028:1131
2Nevezis Kedainiai13101234:931
3Dziugas Telsiai1393128:1130
4FC Hegelmann1384124:628
5Vilniaus Vytis1383226:1724
6FA Siauliai1371530:1822
7Dainava Alytus1371520:1222
8FK Panevezys 21352625:2517
9Zalgiris 21352624:2517
10FK Minija1332819:3011
11FK Atmosfera1331910:2610
12FK Kauno Zalgiris 213201113:366
13BFA Vilnius13201111:406
14Riteriai 21302119:352