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FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Holguin and CF Granma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Holguin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Holguin
20%
Draws
30%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Holguin come out ahead of CF Granma on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Holguin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 68%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin CF Granma
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.35 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 77 / 100
CF Granma 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin CF Granma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Holguin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

CF Granma has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Holguin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS CF Granma
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Holguin

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
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CF Granma

(Away)
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2
CF Granma
03 May
CF Granma
3 : 2
FC Holguin
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)