Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

CF Granma

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Holguin play CF Granma in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Holguin averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. CF Granma averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, FC Holguin won 2, CF Granma won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC Holguin and 1.31 for CF Granma. This points to a FC Holguin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

FC Holguin

17%

Draws

13%

CF Granma

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

FC Holguin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CF Granma.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for FC Holguin.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

FC Holguin Clean Sheet 68%

CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Holguin	CF Granma
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	11	7
Draws	9	5
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 77 / 100

CF Granma 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Holguin CF Granma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

CF Granma let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Holguin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CF Granma lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS CF Granma

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8