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FC Holguin vs FC Camaguey

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

FC Camaguey in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Camaguey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Holguin
40%
Draws
29%
FC Camaguey
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Camaguey have won more games recently than FC Holguin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Camaguey here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 18%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin FC Camaguey
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Camaguey
0:1
May 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Holguin
3:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Camaguey
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 32 / 100
FC Camaguey 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin FC Camaguey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Holguin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Camaguey lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS FC Camaguey
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122