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FC Holguin vs FC Ciego de Avila

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024 game between FC Holguin and FC Ciego de Avila finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FC Holguin
28%
Draws
50%
FC Ciego de Avila
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Ciego de Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Holguin come out ahead of FC Ciego de Avila on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Ciego de Avila's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 21%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin FC Ciego de Avila
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Ciego de Avila
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:2
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Holguin
0:2
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Ciego de Avila
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 24 / 100
FC Ciego de Avila 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin FC Ciego de Avila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

FC Ciego de Avila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: FC Holguin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS FC Ciego de Avila
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos11002:03
2Pinar del Rio10101:11
3Artemisa10101:11
4FC Villa Clara10100:01
5Mayabeque Guines10100:01
6Matanzas00000:00
7Isla de La Juventud00000:00
8FC La Habana10010:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo11001:03
2FC Ciego de Avila10100:01
3FC Holguin10100:01
4FC Santiago de Cuba00000:00
5FC Sancti Spiritus00000:00
6FC Camaguey00000:00
7CF Granma00000:00
8Las Tunas10010:10