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FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
FC Holguin Logo

FC Holguin

2 - 3
FT
FC Guantanamo Logo

FC Guantanamo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Holguin and FC Guantanamo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Holguin
30%
Draws
47%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on FC Guantanamo taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 12%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Holguin
1:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo
2:3
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Holguin
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo
1:0
May 27, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 10 / 100
FC Guantanamo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin FC Guantanamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Holguin scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FC Holguin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: FC Guantanamo conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS FC Guantanamo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Holguin

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
Page 1 of 6

FC Guantanamo

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)