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FC Irkutsk vs Cherepovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Irkutsk host Cherepovets in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FC Irkutsk have averaged 0.57 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Cherepovets's 1.31 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Irkutsk slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 0.99) point toward Cherepovets. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Irkutsk
15%
Draws
85%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cherepovets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Irkutsk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Irkutsk Clean Sheet 20%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Irkutsk Cherepovets
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.57 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Irkutsk vs Cherepovets
0:0
Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Irkutsk
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Irkutsk
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Irkutsk vs Cherepovets
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Irkutsk 36 / 100
Cherepovets 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Irkutsk Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherepovets has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FC Irkutsk scored in 55% of their last 20 outings.

Difficult form: Cherepovets registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Irkutsk VS Cherepovets
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Irkutsk

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
20 Sept
FC Irkutsk
:
FK Tver
12 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
:
FC Irkutsk
06 Sept
FC Irkutsk
:
FC Murom
30 Aug
Luki-Energiya
:
FC Irkutsk
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Cherepovets

(Away)
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
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