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FC Irkutsk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mikhailusov A.
89' Event
Lutashev V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between FC Irkutsk and FC Chertanovo Moscow finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Irkutsk
15%
Draws
85%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Chertanovo Moscow come out ahead of FC Irkutsk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Chertanovo Moscow's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Irkutsk Clean Sheet 11%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Irkutsk FC Chertanovo Moscow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Irkutsk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Irkutsk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
2:1
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FC Irkutsk
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Irkutsk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:0
May 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FC Irkutsk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Irkutsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikhailusov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Irkutsk 27 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Irkutsk FC Chertanovo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chertanovo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FC Irkutsk found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (20 games).

Difficult form: FC Chertanovo Moscow registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Irkutsk VS FC Chertanovo Moscow
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Irkutsk

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
20 Sept
FC Irkutsk
:
FK Tver
12 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
:
FC Irkutsk
06 Sept
FC Irkutsk
:
FC Murom
30 Aug
Luki-Energiya
:
FC Irkutsk
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FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Yenisey 2
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
21 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 2
Kosmos
12 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
1 : 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
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