Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Irkutsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Putilov A.
78' Event
Putilov A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with FC Irkutsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Irkutsk
20%
Draws
80%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sibir Novosibirsk come out ahead of FC Irkutsk on wins alone.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sibir Novosibirsk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Irkutsk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Irkutsk Clean Sheet 68%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Irkutsk Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Russian Cup
FC Irkutsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Irkutsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Putilov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Irkutsk 41 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Irkutsk Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Irkutsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Irkutsk found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (25 games).

Sibir Novosibirsk has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sibir Novosibirsk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Irkutsk VS Sibir Novosibirsk
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Irkutsk

(Home)
23 Aug
FC Irkutsk
:
Zvezda St Peterburg
15 Aug
Vladimir
:
FC Irkutsk
13 Aug
Spartak Moscow 2
:
FC Irkutsk
02 Aug
FC Irkutsk
:
Dynamo Vologda
30 Jul
Chita
3 : 0
FC Irkutsk
Page 1 of 6

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
22 Aug
Saratov
2 : 2
Sibir Novosibirsk
16 Aug
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Aug
KDV Tomsk
3 : 2
Sibir Novosibirsk
08 Aug
D. Bryansk
1 : 0
Sibir Novosibirsk
02 Aug
Sibir Novosibirsk
1 : 3
Rodina Moscow 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
SKA Khabarovsk -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Ulan Ude 0
FC Irkutsk 8
TBD -
Sibir Novosibirsk -
Anri Vladivostok 0
KDV Tomsk 4
TBD -
Dynamo Vladivostok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Barnaul -
Irtysh Omsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 3
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Vologda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Tver -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fakel Voronezh -
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Angust Nazran -
Kuban -
TBD -
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2
Maykop 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Tyumen -
TBD -
Nosta 2
Ilpar FC 3
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Broke Boys 3
FC Oryol 2
TBD -
Kursk -
D. Bryansk -
TBD -
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pobeda -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Mashuk -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
Kuban Kholding -
TBD -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Lipetsk -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK Shumbrat Saransk 1
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Kosmos -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Vladimir 0
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Krasnoye Znamya 3
FK Kolomna 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 3
Kvant Obninsk 1
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kirov -
TBD -
FK Fankom -
Sokol Kazan -
Khimik -
TBD -
TBD -
Amkar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 1
Luki-Energiya 3
RWChallenge 1
Zvezda St Peterburg 4
SSh Leningradets 0
Cherepovets 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Penza -
TBD -
TBD -
Strogino Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
1/16-finals
SKA Khabarovsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
FC Irkutsk 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
KDV Tomsk 3
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Znamya Truda 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
Irtysh Omsk 0
Temp Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Vologda 1
Dynamo Petersburg 0
Tekstilshtik 1
FK Tver 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fakel Voronezh -
Dynamo Stavropol 2
Angust Nazran 1
Kuban 1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Tyumen 4
Ilpar FC 1
Torpedo Miass 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Broke Boys 2
Kursk 1
D. Bryansk 0
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Astrakhan 1
FK Pobeda 0
Legion Makhachkala 3
Alania Vladikavkaz 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Mashuk 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
Kuban Kholding 1
Nart Cherkessk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
Spartak Tambov 2
M. Lipetsk 1
FC Murom 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Kosmos 1
2Drots 0
Veles Moscow 2
Krasnoye Znamya 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Kaluga 0
Amkal Moscow 1
Salyut-Belgorod 3
Ryazan 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kirov 1
FK Fankom 2
Khimik 2
Amkar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Leningradets 0
Luki-Energiya 2
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Cherepovets 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Penza 1
Strogino Moscow 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
1/8-finals
SKA Khabarovsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
FC Irkutsk 3
KDV Tomsk 0
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Znamya Truda 1
Temp Barnaul 0
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Dynamo Vologda 1
Tekstilshtik 2
TBD -
Fakel Voronezh -
Dynamo Stavropol 1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 2
TBD -
Ural -
Tyumen 1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Broke Boys 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 0
TBD -
Saratov -
Astrakhan 5
Legion Makhachkala 2
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Mashuk 0
Kuban Kholding 3
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
Spartak Tambov 0
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Kosmos 1
Veles Moscow 4
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Amkal Moscow 2
Salyut-Belgorod 1
TBD -
Yenisey -
FK Fankom 1
Khimik 0
TBD -
Ufa -
Luki-Energiya 2
Cherepovets 4
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Penza 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Quarter-finals
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
FC Irkutsk 2
Chelyabinsk 3
Kamaz 1
S. Kostroma 0
Znamya Truda 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1
Tekstilshtik 1
Fakel Voronezh 2
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 1
Ural 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0
Arsenal Tula 3
Broke Boys 0
Saratov 2
Astrakhan 0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 2
Kuban Kholding 3
Ulyanovsk 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
Torpedo Moscow 3
Veles Moscow 2
R. Volgograd 1
Amkal Moscow 1
Yenisey 2
FK Fankom 0
Ufa 3
Cherepovets 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl 4
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Neftekhimik 2
Semi-finals
Rodina Moscow 0
Chelyabinsk 1
Kamaz 3
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1
Fakel Voronezh 1
Ural 0
Arsenal Tula 1
Saratov 0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 1
Kuban Kholding 2
Torpedo Moscow 3
Veles Moscow 0
Yenisey 1
Ufa 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Neftekhimik 2
Final
Chelyabinsk 0
Kamaz 1
Fakel Voronezh 2
Arsenal Tula 3
Kuban Kholding 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Ufa 1
Neftekhimik 2