Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Jarfalla vs FC Arlanda

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Antholm I.
50' Event
Antholm I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Jarfalla
15%
Draws
64%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Jarfalla haven't matched FC Arlanda's recent run of results.
  • FC Arlanda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • FC Arlanda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Arlanda, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Arlanda here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla FC Arlanda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Svenska Cupen
FC Jarfalla vs FC Arlanda
0:2
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs FC Arlanda
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs FC Arlanda
0:1
May 18, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Arlanda vs FC Jarfalla
3:0
Oct 7, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Arlanda vs FC Jarfalla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Antholm I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 14 / 100
FC Arlanda 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jarfalla found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Arlanda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Jarfalla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS FC Arlanda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

FC Arlanda

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Football Primetime 1
Karlskrona 0
TBD -
Helsingborg -
Lidkoping 2
Skovde 3
TBD -
Halmstad -
AC Studenterna 0
Lindo FF 4
TBD -
Malmo FF -
IFK Skovde 1
Jonkoping 0
TBD -
Falkenberg -
Olympic 5
AFC Malmo 3
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
BK Astrio 0
Angelholm 3
TBD -
Kalmar -
Landvetter 0
Dalstorps 1
TBD -
Norrby -
Viken 1
Utsikten 2
TBD -
Hacken -
Hogaborgs 2
IFK Trelleborg 1
TBD -
Oster -
Frolunda 4
Onsala 2
TBD -
Elfsborg -
Hovshaga 0
Vaxjo Norra 5
TBD -
Varnamo -
Malmslatts AIK 1
Husqvarna 5
TBD -
GAIS -
Savedalen 2
Boljan 3
TBD -
Varberg -
Rappe GOIF 1
Hassleholms IF 2
TBD -
Landskrona -
Balkan 2
Eskilsminne 3
TBD -
Orgryte -
Vastkurd 2
Trollhattan 3
TBD -
Mjallby -
Viggbyholms 0
Sollentuna 5
TBD -
Orebro -
Vendelso 1
Haninge 4
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Forssa 2
IK Franke 3
TBD -
Ljungskile -
Hudiksvall 0
Friska Viljor 1
TBD -
Sirius -
Konyaspor 0
AFC Eskilstuna 2
TBD -
Oddevold -
Sturehov IK 1
FBK Karlstad 3
TBD -
Sundsvall -
IFK Stocksund 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
IFK Ostersund 1
Kubikenborgs 0
TBD -
Degerfors -
Ragsved 0
Enkopings SK 2
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
Assyriska FF 0
Vasalund 1
TBD -
Norrkoping -
FC Jarfalla 0
FC Arlanda 2
TBD -
Ostersund -
Ostra Ersboda 2
Pitea 3
TBD -
AIK -
Bollstanas 5
Gute 2
TBD -
Nordic United -
Falu BS 1
Gefle 0
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Unik FK 0
Karlbergs 1
TBD -
Brage -
Eker Orebro 0
Karlstad 3
TBD -
Sandviken -
Final
Football Primetime 3
Helsingborg 6
Skovde 1
Halmstad 2
Lindo FF 1
Malmo FF 5
IFK Skovde 3
Falkenberg 2
Olympic 0
IFK Goteborg 5
Angelholm 0
Kalmar 7
Dalstorps 0
Norrby 2
Utsikten 1
Hacken 2
Hogaborgs 0
Oster 4
Frolunda 0
Elfsborg 4
Vaxjo Norra 1
Varnamo 3
Husqvarna 0
GAIS 7
Boljan 0
Varberg 5
Hassleholms IF 0
Landskrona 1
Eskilsminne 1
Orgryte 3
Trollhattan -
Mjallby -
Sollentuna 1
Orebro 4
Haninge 1
Djurgarden 7
IK Franke 0
Ljungskile 1
Friska Viljor 0
Sirius 2
AFC Eskilstuna 4
Oddevold 5
FBK Karlstad 1
Sundsvall 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 0
Hammarby 3
IFK Ostersund 1
Degerfors 5
Enkopings SK 1
Vasteras SK 2
Vasalund 1
Norrkoping 2
FC Arlanda 1
Ostersund 2
Pitea 0
AIK 3
Bollstanas 0
Nordic United 2
Falu BS 2
Brommapojkarna 1
Karlbergs 2
Brage 0
Karlstad 0
Sandviken 2