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FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Aksoy Y. In: Moller O.
Out: Aksoy Y.
27' Event
Wurtz A.
Assist: Mazanti Nyberg F.
30'
Taylan M. E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FC Jarfalla and IFK Stocksund finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Stocksund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Jarfalla
30%
Draws
23%
IFK Stocksund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Jarfalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Stocksund haven't matched FC Jarfalla's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Jarfalla taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IFK Stocksund have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Stocksund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla IFK Stocksund
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund
1:6
Jun 29, 2022 Svenska Cupen
FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund
1:3
Jun 22, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund
1:6
Apr 9, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
IFK Stocksund vs FC Jarfalla
2:1
Sep 8, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
IFK Stocksund vs FC Jarfalla
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Wurtz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

IFK Stocksund Compare

Top Goalscorer Engstrom K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wagberg N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 40 / 100
IFK Stocksund 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla IFK Stocksund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Jarfalla scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: IFK Stocksund conceded in 100% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

IFK Stocksund lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS IFK Stocksund
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
28 Jun
Umea FC
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
23 Jun
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
18 Jun
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
13 Jun
FC Jarfalla
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

IFK Stocksund

(Away)
01 Aug
IFK Stocksund
0 : 2
Karlbergs
25 Jul
Sollentuna
1 : 1
IFK Stocksund
27 Jun
Gefle
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
18 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
IFK Stocksund
13 Jun
IFK Stocksund
3 : 3
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby TFF 15 11 2 2 43:12 35
2 Karlstad 15 10 3 2 24:10 33
3 FC Stockholm Internazionale 15 9 3 3 32:14 30
4 FC Arlanda 15 8 5 2 24:15 29
5 Enkopings SK 16 9 1 6 27:26 28
6 FBK Karlstad 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
7 AFC Eskilstuna 15 6 4 5 24:24 22
8 Karlbergs 16 6 3 7 26:25 21
9 Assyriska FF 15 4 5 6 24:29 17
10 Gefle 15 5 2 8 19:29 17
11 Umea FC 15 4 4 7 20:25 16
12 Vasalund 15 4 4 7 21:31 16
13 FC Jarfalla 15 4 3 8 21:31 15
14 Sollentuna 15 2 8 5 13:20 14
15 Pitea 15 2 3 10 16:34 9
16 IFK Stocksund 15 1 5 9 28:38 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)