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FC Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Klimasevics D.
65' Event
Karklins E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
20%
Draws
80%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than FC Jurmala.
  • BFC Daugavpils are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 1 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.66 1.36
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2014 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Jurmala
4:2
Aug 21, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
Jun 25, 2014 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Jurmala
1:1
May 5, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
1:2
Mar 30, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Karklins E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimasevics D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Daugavpils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFC Daugavpils's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: BFC Daugavpils has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Jurmala's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BFC Daugavpils
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
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BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)