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FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nketiah R.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
20%
Draws
80%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Jurmala haven't matched FK Liepaja's recent run of results.
  • FK Liepaja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Liepaja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 22%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala FK Liepaja
Matches Played 29 43
Wins 1 21
Draws 4 7
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.66 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FC Jurmala
6:0
Aug 3, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:1
Jun 11, 2014 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FC Jurmala
7:0
May 10, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
2:3
Apr 16, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
FK Liepaja 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Liepaja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FK Liepaja conceded in 77% of 43 recent games.

FC Jurmala found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

FK Liepaja's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Liepaja
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
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FK Liepaja

(Away)
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)