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FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga

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Virslīga 2011
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Match Events

9' Event
22' Event
42' Event

AI Match Summary

FC Jurmala in this Virslīga 2011 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
15%
Draws
85%
Olimps Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimps Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Jurmala lately — more wins on the board than Olimps Riga.
  • Win probability leans FC Jurmala's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala Olimps Riga
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 1
Draws 5 3
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.3 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2011 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
6:1
Sep 10, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Jurmala
1:2
Jul 6, 2011 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
4:0
May 8, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Jurmala
2:2
Nov 4, 2006 1. Liga
FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 34 / 100
Olimps Riga 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimps Riga let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Away concern: Olimps Riga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Jurmala found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Jurmala VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
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Olimps Riga

(Away)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)