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FC Jurmala vs Skonto

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Abot N.
32' Event
Morozs V.
45' Event
Gutkovskis V.

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Jurmala and Skonto finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skonto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
15%
Draws
85%
Skonto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Skonto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Skonto a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skonto have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%
Skonto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala Skonto
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 1 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.66 3.24
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Skonto
1:7
Aug 17, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FC Jurmala
4:3
Jun 22, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Skonto
0:5
May 1, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FC Jurmala
1:0
Aug 31, 2013 Virsliga
Skonto vs FC Jurmala
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abot N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Skonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutkovskis V.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Morozs V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.49
Avg xA / game 1.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
Skonto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala Skonto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skonto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Skonto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Skonto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Jurmala found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Skonto
0 Goals Scored 4.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Skonto

(Away)
05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3
AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1
Preilu BJSS
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3
Skonto
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2
RTU
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)