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FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
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Match Events

1' Event
Newerton
Assist: Isaque Silva
50'
Smolyakov A.
57'
Itodo P.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Kharkiv and Shakhtar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
FC Kharkiv
15%
Draws
44%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Kharkiv taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shakhtar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 17%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Kharkiv Shakhtar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.72 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs FC Kharkiv
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 Premier League
Shakhtar vs FC Kharkiv
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Kharkiv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Newerton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Kharkiv 41 / 100
Shakhtar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Kharkiv Shakhtar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Kharkiv found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Kharkiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Shakhtar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Kharkiv VS Shakhtar
2.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Kharkiv

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 2
FC Kharkiv
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Shakhtar

(Away)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Veres Rivne 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)