Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Koerich/Simmern vs Avenir Beggen

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017
Sun, Sep 18, 2016
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with FC Koerich/Simmern advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Koerich/Simmern
15%
Draws
42%
Avenir Beggen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Koerich/Simmern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avenir Beggen come out ahead of FC Koerich/Simmern on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avenir Beggen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Avenir Beggen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Koerich/Simmern, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Koerich/Simmern Clean Sheet 12%
Avenir Beggen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Koerich/Simmern Avenir Beggen
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 0.89 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
FC Koerich/Simmern vs Avenir Beggen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Koerich/Simmern 19 / 100
Avenir Beggen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Koerich/Simmern Avenir Beggen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avenir Beggen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avenir Beggen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Avenir Beggen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Koerich/Simmern scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Koerich/Simmern VS Avenir Beggen
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Koerich/Simmern

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Koerich/Simmern
0 : 1
Luxembourg City
09 Nov
FC Koerich/Simmern
0 : 2
Luxembourg City
21 Sept
FC Koerich/Simmern
2 : 0
Koeppchen
01 Oct
FC Koerich/Simmern
1 : 3
Koeppchen
17 Oct
FC Koerich/Simmern
2 : 4
Bissen
Page 1 of 2

Avenir Beggen

(Away)
20 Sept
Les Ardoisiers Perle
0 : 7
Avenir Beggen
21 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
4 : 1
Avenir Beggen
21 Sept
Avenir Beggen
2 : 3
Rumelange
06 Oct
Union Tetange
2 : 0
Avenir Beggen
01 Oct
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 1
Avenir Beggen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fola 7
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
US Sandweiler 5
Progres Niedercorn 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
FC Munsbach 0
Hostert 6
Luxembourg City 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Kaerjeng 4
Mondorf 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Victoria Rosport 4
Ettelbruck 4
Steinfort 1
Gasperich 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Kehlen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 1
Erpeldange 1
Rumelange 6
Lorentzweiler 4
Bissen 3
FC Mamer 0
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 2
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Racing Luxembourg 8
Esch 13
Biekerech 1
AS Colmar-Berg 0
UNA Strassen 5
US Feulen 4
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
AS Wincrange 0
Hesperange 6
Mondercange 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
Lintgen 4
AS Hosingen 4
Jeunesse Biwer 3
Diekirch 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 5
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Cebra 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Jeunesse Canach 3
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
Luna Oberkorn 0
Avenir Beggen 0
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Union Tetange 2
Schifflange 1
Dudelange 7
1/16-finals
Fola 1
US Sandweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Hostert 2
Luxembourg City 1
Kaerjeng 0
Mondorf 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Ettelbruck 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Kehlen 0
Rumelange 2
Lorentzweiler 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 1
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 4
UNA Strassen 2
US Feulen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondercange 3
Lintgen 2
AS Hosingen 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Differdange 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Union Titus Petange 0
Dudelange 6
1/8-finals
Fola 5
Hostert 3
Luxembourg City 1
Victoria Rosport 5
Ettelbruck 2
Rumelange 1
Lorentzweiler 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 2
Hesperange 1
Mondercange 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Wiltz 0
Dudelange 5
Quarter-finals
Fola 2
Victoria Rosport 0
Ettelbruck 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Esch 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Differdange 0
Dudelange 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Racing Luxembourg 0
Esch 0
Dudelange 3
Final
Fola 1
Dudelange 4