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FC La Habana vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC La Habana and FC Guantanamo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC La Habana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC La Habana
39%
Draws
30%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC La Habana come out ahead of FC Guantanamo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC La Habana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 16%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC La Habana FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana
0:1
Jun 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Guantanamo
2:0
May 13, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana
2:0
Nov 16, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana
0:1
Oct 15, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Guantanamo
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC La Habana 31 / 100
FC Guantanamo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC La Habana FC Guantanamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC La Habana's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC La Habana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FC Guantanamo let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC La Habana VS FC Guantanamo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%