Sport Picks

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FC La Habana vs Mayabeque Guines

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC La Habana in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC La Habana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC La Habana
6%
Draws
4%
Mayabeque Guines
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC La Habana lately — more wins on the board than Mayabeque Guines.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC La Habana taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC La Habana here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 20%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC La Habana Mayabeque Guines
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Mayabeque Guines
2:0
Apr 16, 2022 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC La Habana
1:4
Feb 26, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Mayabeque Guines
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC La Habana 85 / 100
Mayabeque Guines 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC La Habana Mayabeque Guines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC La Habana scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Mayabeque Guines has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

FC La Habana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC La Habana VS Mayabeque Guines
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122