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FC Libreville vs Stade Mandji

Gabon Gabon

Championnat D1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat D1 2025/2026 game between FC Libreville and Stade Mandji finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Mandji.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Libreville
20%
Draws
40%
Stade Mandji
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stade Mandji come out ahead of FC Libreville on wins alone.
  • Stade Mandji are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat D1 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stade Mandji have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
FC Libreville Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Mandji Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Libreville Stade Mandji
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Championnat D1
FC Libreville vs Stade Mandji
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Championnat D1
Stade Mandji vs FC Libreville
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Championnat D1
Stade Mandji vs FC Libreville
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Championnat D1
FC Libreville vs Stade Mandji
0:1
Feb 22, 2023 Championnat D1
Stade Mandji vs FC Libreville
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Libreville 19 / 100
Stade Mandji 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Libreville Stade Mandji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Mandji Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Libreville found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Stade Mandji registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Stade Mandji conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Libreville VS Stade Mandji
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Libreville

(Home)
04 Jul
Vautour
3 : 1
FC Libreville
30 Jun
FC Libreville
0 : 1
US Oyem
27 Jun
Lozo Sport
0 : 0
FC Libreville
20 Jun
FC Libreville
0 : 1
Ogooue
13 Jun
Bouenguidi
0 : 2
FC Libreville
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Stade Mandji

(Away)
04 Jul
Stade Mandji
0 : 1
Mangasport
30 Jun
Stade Migoveen
2 : 0
Stade Mandji
27 Jun
Stade Mandji
3 : 1
Dikaki
20 Jun
Stade Mandji
1 : 2
Vautour
13 Jun
US Oyem
0 : 0
Stade Mandji
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mangasport 26 19 1 6 51:21 58
2 Stade Mandji 26 17 4 5 41:16 55
3 Vautour 26 13 6 7 33:22 45
4 Oyem AC 26 13 4 9 38:25 43
5 Cercle Mberi Sportif 26 11 9 6 30:20 42
6 Ogooue 26 12 5 9 36:30 41
7 US Oyem 26 11 6 9 32:27 39
8 FC Libreville 26 12 2 12 35:35 38
9 Stade Migoveen 26 10 7 9 27:26 37
10 Pelican Lambarene 26 9 6 11 37:31 33
11 Lozo Sport 26 7 7 12 22:27 28
12 Bitam 26 7 4 15 23:54 25
13 Bouenguidi 26 3 11 12 22:34 20
14 Dikaki 26 1 2 23 15:74 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)