Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Liefering vs Hogo Hertha Wels

Austria Austria

2. Liga 2025/2026 Red Bull Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Muller P.
7' Event
Verhounig P.
(Penalty)
13'
Sub
Feyrer S. In: Tischler L.
Out: Feyrer S.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Liefering and Hogo Hertha Wels finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hogo Hertha Wels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Liefering
6%
Draws
4%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Liefering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hogo Hertha Wels haven't matched FC Liefering's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Liefering taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Liefering Clean Sheet 68%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Liefering Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs Hogo Hertha Wels
2:5
Sep 19, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs FC Liefering
1:1
Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Liefering vs Hogo Hertha Wels
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Liefering vs Hogo Hertha Wels
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Liefering Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinowski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keckeisen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Liefering 95 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Liefering Hogo Hertha Wels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FC Liefering stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC Liefering scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Hogo Hertha Wels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Liefering VS Hogo Hertha Wels
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lustenau28166640:2654
2St. Polten28165744:2653
3Admira281212450:2948
4Floridsdorfer AC Wien28146842:1848
5FC Liefering28138747:4147
6Amstetten281111641:3444
7First Vienna281171030:2540
8Austria Vienna (Am)281161133:4039
9A. Salzburg28910936:3737
10Hogo Hertha Wels28961336:3733
11Rapid Vienna II28951433:4532
12A. Klagenfurt28961333:4430
13Kapfenberg28841631:5328
14Sturm II28561725:4521
15SW Bregenz283101536:5716
16Stripfing00000:00