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FC Lovech vs Kom Berkovitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lovech host Kom Berkovitsa in the Third League - North-West 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: FC Lovech at 0.63 goals for, 1.9 against; Kom Berkovitsa at 1.97 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor FC Lovech slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.17 - 2.69) back Kom Berkovitsa to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Lovech
20%
Draws
80%
Kom Berkovitsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Kom Berkovitsa have won more games recently than FC Lovech.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Kom Berkovitsa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lovech Kom Berkovitsa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 9
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Kom Berkovitsa
0:3
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs FC Lovech
3:0
May 17, 2017 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs FC Lovech
0:7
Oct 30, 2016 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Kom Berkovitsa
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lovech 10 / 100
Kom Berkovitsa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lovech Kom Berkovitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Berkovitsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Kom Berkovitsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

FC Lovech's goal record stands at 27% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kom Berkovitsa's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Lovech VS Kom Berkovitsa
0 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lovech

(Home)
23 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Juventus Malchika
16 May
Etar II
3 : 0
FC Lovech
09 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 0
FC Lovech
02 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
25 Apr
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6

Kom Berkovitsa

(Away)
26 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
1 : 1
OFK Levski
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)