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FC Lovech vs Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lovech host Troyan in the Third League - North-West 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Troyan have shipped 2.55 goals a game lately, while FC Lovech have conceded 1.9 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, FC Lovech have won 1 to Troyan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 2.25) point toward FC Lovech. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Lovech
15%
Draws
85%
Troyan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Troyan haven't matched FC Lovech's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Troyan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lovech Troyan
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 7 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Troyan
0:3
Sep 12, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs FC Lovech
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lovech 10 / 100
Troyan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lovech Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Troyan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Lovech found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Lovech VS Troyan
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lovech

(Home)
23 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Juventus Malchika
16 May
Etar II
3 : 0
FC Lovech
09 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 0
FC Lovech
02 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
25 Apr
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6

Troyan

(Away)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)