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FC Lustenau vs Johann

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rottmann D.
41' Event
Grabherr S.
49' Event
Zengin H.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between FC Lustenau and Johann finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Lustenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
FC Lustenau
20%
Draws
70%
Johann
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Johann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Johann carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Johann's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Lustenau have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 11%
Johann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lustenau Johann
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau vs Johann
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga West
Johann vs FC Lustenau
5:1
Sep 25, 2012 OFB Cup
Johann vs FC Lustenau
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Rottmann D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grabherr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Johann Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozkan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lustenau 10 / 100
Johann 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lustenau Johann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johann Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johann let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FC Lustenau scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

FC Lustenau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Lustenau VS Johann
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lustenau

(Home)
29 Aug
FC Lustenau
1 : 4
Dornbirn
23 Aug
Altach U21
3 : 1
FC Lustenau
15 Aug
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
Kufstein
07 Aug
Hohenems
6 : 0
FC Lustenau
31 Jul
Kitzbuhel
2 : 0
FC Lustenau
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Johann

(Away)
28 Aug
Johann
1 : 1
Dietach
21 Aug
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
4 : 0
Johann
14 Aug
Johann
2 : 1
Pinzgau Saalfelden
11 Aug
Johann
0 : 2
Kuchl
08 Aug
Johann
2 : 0
LASK Linz (Am)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Innsbruck 32 28 2 2 88:18 86
2 Kuchl 32 21 2 9 61:43 65
3 SC Imst 32 19 7 6 71:38 64
4 Seekirchen 32 19 4 9 83:51 61
5 Dornbirn 32 16 4 12 62:46 52
6 Bischofshofen 32 16 3 13 61:49 51
7 Hohenems 32 12 11 9 60:52 47
8 Kitzbuhel 32 14 4 14 46:44 46
9 Reichenau 32 14 3 15 44:55 45
10 Schwaz 32 13 5 14 57:56 44
11 Wals-Grunau 32 11 8 13 56:65 41
12 FC Lustenau 32 9 7 16 49:78 34
13 Johann 32 9 5 18 45:58 32
14 Pinzgau Saalfelden 32 7 6 19 26:60 27
15 Altach U21 32 7 6 19 35:75 27
16 Kufstein 32 5 10 17 33:55 25
17 Lauterach 32 6 5 21 46:80 23
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)