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FC Madalena vs Oliv. Bairro

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
FC Madalena Logo

FC Madalena

0 - 1
FT
Oliv. Bairro Logo

Oliv. Bairro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oliv. Bairro in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliv. Bairro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Madalena
15%
Draws
57%
Oliv. Bairro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliv. Bairro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Oliv. Bairro have won more games recently than FC Madalena.
  • Model gives Oliv. Bairro a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 12%
Oliv. Bairro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Madalena Oliv. Bairro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Oliv. Bairro
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Oliv. Bairro vs FC Madalena
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Madalena 27 / 100
Oliv. Bairro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Madalena Oliv. Bairro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliv. Bairro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oliv. Bairro conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

FC Madalena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Oliv. Bairro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Madalena VS Oliv. Bairro
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Madalena

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5
FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
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Oliv. Bairro

(Away)
01 Sept
Oliv. Bairro
0 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Apr
Oliv. Bairro
1 : 3
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Apr
SC Angrense
2 : 3
Oliv. Bairro
15 Apr
Oliv. Bairro
1 : 2
Anadia
07 Apr
Padroense
2 : 3
Oliv. Bairro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)