Sport Picks
FC Madalena vs Operario
Portugal
Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Operario in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Madalena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Madalena haven't matched Operario's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Madalena a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Operario here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 20%
Operario Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Madalena | Operario |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Operario
0:1
Oct 2, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Operario vs FC Madalena
2:1
Feb 6, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
FC Madalena vs Operario
2:1
Oct 3, 2010 Second Division - Zona Sul
Operario vs FC Madalena
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Madalena 85 / 100
Operario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Madalena Operario
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Madalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Operario has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Operario lost 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
FC Madalena scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Madalena VS Operario
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Madalena
(Home) 30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5 FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2 Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0 FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0 FC Madalena
29 Apr
FC Madalena
3 : 2 Aliados Lordelo
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08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2 Estrela Vendas Novas
29 Apr
FC Madalena
3 : 2 Aliados Lordelo
15 Apr
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Sao Joao de Ver
01 Apr
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Anadia
18 Mar
FC Madalena
0 : 0 Cinfaes
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Operario
(Away) 21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0 Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4 Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2 Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1 Operario
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21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0 Operario
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Operario
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1 Operario
02 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 0 Operario
09 Feb
Serpa
4 : 0 Operario
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tondela | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 63 |
| 2 | SC Espinho | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Operario | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 34:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Boavista | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:31 | 50 |
| 5 | Amarante FC | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 6 | Sao Joao de Ver | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 43:46 | 49 |
| 7 | Gondomar | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 27:31 | 44 |
| 8 | Cinfaes | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 35:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Coimbroes | 30 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 10 | Anadia | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 11 | Padroense | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 47:50 | 39 |
| 12 | Aliados Lordelo | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 37 |
| 13 | Oliv. Bairro | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34:50 | 28 |
| 14 | SC Angrense | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 36:49 | 23 |
| 15 | Paredes | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 30:50 | 23 |
| 16 | FC Madalena | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 32:54 | 21 |
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)
